Tennis · M25 Uriage · 13/07, 11:30
Prediction: Mathys Picard vs Robinson Le Meur
Prediction summary
Winner
Mathys Picard
Robinson Le Meur
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Mathys Picard
8-2 (W-L)
Robinson Le Meur
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mathys Picard 1555 · Robinson Le Meur 1485
| Mathys Picard | Robinson Le Meur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mathys Picard (rating 1555 vs 1485).
- Note: Robinson Le Meur makes many double faults (8.8/match).
Statistics
| Mathys Picard | Robinson Le Meur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (3) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-8.2 | 8.7-9.1 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 8.8 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 61.3% |
| Break % | 44.4% | 37.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mathys Picard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Tuncay Duran M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-8 | L |
| 28/06 | Roger Pascual Ferra M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 27/06 | Lukas Pokorny M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Dominick Mosejczuk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Isaac Becroft M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Diego Fernandez Flores M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Tighe Brunetti M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/05 | Adan Freire Da Silva M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Lenny Couturier M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/05 | Korto Rius M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Robinson Le Meur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Timeo Bretin M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Ryo Tabata Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Matisse Martin M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Pierre Delage M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Gregoire Delattre M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/05 | Thomas Gerbaud M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/02 | Octave Caillat M15 Lannion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 15/02 | Stefan Seifert M15 Lannion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Yoshka Sborowsky ITF M15 Huy · Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 18/08 | Bas Bouwman ITF M15 Huy · Clay |
2-1 | 10-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mathys Picard vs Robinson Le Meur?
Our model gives 62% to Mathys Picard, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.