Tennis · M25 Uriage · 13/07, 11:30
Prediction: Antoine Mayoral vs Laurin Aerne
Prediction summary
Winner
Antoine Mayoral
Laurin Aerne
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Antoine Mayoral
3-7 (W-L)
Laurin Aerne
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Antoine Mayoral 1499 · Laurin Aerne 1437
| Antoine Mayoral | Laurin Aerne | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Antoine Mayoral (rating 1499 vs 1437).
- Note: Antoine Mayoral makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Laurin Aerne makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Antoine Mayoral | Laurin Aerne | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.8 | 10.2-11.3 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 54.4% | 41.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Antoine Mayoral
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Clement Mayoral M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/04 | Santiago Lora UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/04 | Karim Al-Amin UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/04 | Jonasz Dziopak UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/04 | Anas Bennour Dit Sahli UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/04 | Aleksa Ciric UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/10 | John Patrick Popowich UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Roman Sancilio UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 16/10 | Karim Al-Amin UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Obrad Markovski UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Laurin Aerne
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06 | Nicholas David Ionel M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 02/03 | Erwin Troebinger M25 Trimbach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/02 | Alfie King M25 Sheffield |
1-1 | 7-10 | L |
| 18/11 | Arjun Mehrotra ITF M15 Kuala Lumpur · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/11 | Yuta Kawahashi ITF M15 Kuala Lumpur · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/11 | Sai Karteek Reddy Ganta ITF M15 Kuala Lumpur · Hard |
2-1 | 10-11 | W |
| 09/10 | Udit Kamboj ITF M25 Kigali · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 06/10 | Aniketh Venkataraman ITF M25 Kigali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Nicholas Van Aken ITF M25 Kigali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Sydney Zick ITF M15 Forbach · Carpet |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Antoine Mayoral vs Laurin Aerne?
Our model gives 60% to Antoine Mayoral, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.