Tennis · M25 Uriage · 13/07, 11:30
Prediction: Andrea Brignacca vs Alexey Dubinin
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea Brignacca
Alexey Dubinin
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Brignacca
3-7 (W-L)
Alexey Dubinin
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Brignacca 1450 · Alexey Dubinin 1476
| Andrea Brignacca | Alexey Dubinin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Andrea Brignacca | Alexey Dubinin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 17% (6) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-10.5 | 8-9 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 73.7% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 60.3% | 57.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Brignacca
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Tom Gonindard M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Fran Rakonic M25 Samobor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/03 | Michal Milko UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/03 | Adam Novotny UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/03 | Sebastian Chodura UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 12/03 | Felix Einig UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/03 | Pepijn Bastiaansen UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Jiri Vesely UTR Pro Trnava · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/11 | Joris Moret UTR Pro Match Series · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
Alexey Dubinin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06 | Nicolas Garcia Longo M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 02/06 | Valentin Vanta M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 26/05 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Artem Bukin M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-8 | L |
| 30/04 | Samir Hamza Reguig M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Adam Bajurko M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/04 | Xiuyuan Guo M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 23/03 | Deep Munim M15 Ahmedabad · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/03 | Raghav Jaisinghani M25 Kolkata · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/03 | Rishabdev Raman M25 Kolkata · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Brignacca vs Alexey Dubinin?
Our model gives 52% to Alexey Dubinin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.