Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · 13/07, 02:00
Prediction: Ran Inaba vs Yui Ohwaki
Prediction summary
Winner
Ran Inaba
Yui Ohwaki
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ran Inaba
6-4 (W-L)
Yui Ohwaki
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ran Inaba 1559 · Yui Ohwaki 1466
| Ran Inaba | Yui Ohwaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ran Inaba (rating 1559 vs 1466).
- Ran Inaba is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ran Inaba | Yui Ohwaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-8.3 | 8.3-11.1 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 55% | 44.8% |
| Break % | 59.2% | 61.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ran Inaba
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06 | Shizuka Sakurada UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/06 | Yura Nakagawa UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/06 | Mayuka Aikawa UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Ayaho Okude Okude UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/06 | Yua Morishita UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/03 | Rito Arima UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 12/03 | Hannah Allen UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/03 | Natsumi Shioya UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/03 | Junri Namigata UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/03 | Ayaka Ozeki UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Yui Ohwaki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Xiang Liu W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 01/07 | Xiaowei Li W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Rira Kosaka W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 26/06 | Miho Kuramochi W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Stefani Webb W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Hee Rae Im W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 16/06 | Seo Yun Choi W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Yuka Hosoki W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Chia Yi Tsao W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Hee Rae Im W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-1 | 8-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ran Inaba vs Yui Ohwaki?
Our model gives 53% to Yui Ohwaki, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.