Tennis · M15 San Salvador de Jujuy · 12/07, 16:00
Prediction: Juan Estevez vs Carlos Maria Zarate
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Estevez
Carlos Maria Zarate
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Estevez
7-3 (W-L)
Carlos Maria Zarate
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Juan Estevez
2–0
Carlos Maria Zarate
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Estevez 1579 · Carlos Maria Zarate 1519
| Juan Estevez | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juan Estevez (rating 1579 vs 1519).
- Head-to-head: Juan Estevez 2–0 Carlos Maria Zarate (2).
Statistics
| Juan Estevez | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-7.6 | 11.9-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 54.4% | 34.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Juan Estevez 2 – 0 Carlos Maria Zarate (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Estevez 2–0 Carlos Maria Zarate
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/02/26 Challenger Rosario | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/03/25 ITF M15 Villa Maria | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Estevez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Felipe De Dios M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 09/07 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Valentin Basel M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Nick Hardt Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/06 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Carlos Maria Zarate
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Thiago Cigarran M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
1-0 | 13-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Mateo Del Pino M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Santiago Lora M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Juan Sebastian Gomez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 12/06 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/06 | Nick Hardt M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Nicolas Oliveira M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Estevez vs Carlos Maria Zarate?
Our model gives 62% to Juan Estevez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.