Tennis · M15 San Salvador de Jujuy · 11/07, 17:00
Prediction: Thiago Cigarran vs Carlos Maria Zarate
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Cigarran
Carlos Maria Zarate
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Cigarran
5-5 (W-L)
Carlos Maria Zarate
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Thiago Cigarran
1–0
Carlos Maria Zarate
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Cigarran 1506 · Carlos Maria Zarate 1532
| Thiago Cigarran | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Thiago Cigarran 1–0 Carlos Maria Zarate (1).
Statistics
| Thiago Cigarran | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-10.6 | 12.3-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 68% |
| Break % | 42.1% | 36.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
H2H · Thiago Cigarran 1 – 0 Carlos Maria Zarate (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Thiago Cigarran 1–0 Carlos Maria Zarate
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11/24 ITF M15 Lujan | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Cigarran
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 08/07 | Juan Ignacio Gallego M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Santiago Giamichelle M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/06 | Valentin Basel Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/06 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Juan Estevez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Wilson Leite Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Carlos Maria Zarate
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Lorenzo Gagliardo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
1-0 | 13-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Mateo Del Pino M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Santiago Lora M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Juan Sebastian Gomez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 12/06 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/06 | Nick Hardt M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Nicolas Oliveira M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 05/06 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Cigarran vs Carlos Maria Zarate?
Our model gives 67% to Carlos Maria Zarate, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.