Tennis · M15 San Salvador de Jujuy · 10/07, 15:00
Prediction: Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas vs Thiago Cigarran
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Thiago Cigarran; the market gives 59% to Thiago Cigarran (odds 1.57).
Recent form leaves Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Thiago Cigarran has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
56%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas 1494 · Thiago Cigarran 1508
| Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas | Thiago Cigarran | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas | Thiago Cigarran | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.6 | 12.7-10.3 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 41.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Luis Jose Nakamine M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Natan Rodrigues Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Pedro Rodrigues M15 Brasilia |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Vitor Machado De Melo Cunha M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/06 | Juan Manuel La Serna M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Glauco Pinheiro Da Cruz Junior M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/02 | Noah Schachter Challenger Baton Rouge · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/02 | Ryan Dickerson Challenger Baton Rouge · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Thiago Cigarran
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Juan Ignacio Gallego M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Santiago Giamichelle M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/06 | Valentin Basel Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/06 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Juan Estevez Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Wilson Leite Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Santiago Giamichelle Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas vs Thiago Cigarran?
Our model gives 56% to Thiago Cigarran, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.