Prediction: Mateo Del Pino vs Carlos Maria Zarate
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Carlos Maria Zarate; the market gives 79% to Carlos Maria Zarate (odds 1.17).
Recent form leaves Mateo Del Pino with 3 wins and 7 losses over 10 games; Carlos Maria Zarate has piled up 7-3 in the same span.
| Mateo Del Pino | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlos Maria Zarate (rating 1468 vs 1543).
- Carlos Maria Zarate is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Mateo Del Pino 1–0 Carlos Maria Zarate (1).
Statistics
| Mateo Del Pino | Carlos Maria Zarate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-12.4 | 12.8-10.7 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 57.1% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 52.4% | 38.4% |
H2H · Mateo Del Pino 1 – 0 Carlos Maria Zarate (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mateo Del Pino 1–0 Carlos Maria Zarate
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/03/25 M25 Lujan | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mateo Del Pino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 07/06 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 20/05 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/05 | Salvador Price M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 14/05 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 13/05 | Valentino Grippo M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/05 | Juan Estevez M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 28/04 | Franco Ariel Vazquez M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Carlos Maria Zarate
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Santiago Lora M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Juan Sebastian Gomez Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 12/06 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/06 | Nick Hardt M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Nicolas Oliveira M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 05/06 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 04/06 | Kaue Noatto M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/06 | Ryan Augusto Dos Santos M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mateo Del Pino vs Carlos Maria Zarate?
Our model gives 71% to Carlos Maria Zarate, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.