Prediction: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo vs Bastian Malla
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Bastian Malla; the market gives 59% to Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo (odds 1.57).
Recent form leaves Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Bastian Malla has piled up 8-2 in the same span.
| Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | Bastian Malla | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 1–0 Bastian Malla (1).
Statistics
| Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo | Bastian Malla | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-8.5 | 11.8-6.1 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 55.4% | 51.4% |
H2H · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 1 – 0 Bastian Malla (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 1–0 Bastian Malla
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/26 M25 Santiago | 2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Nicolas Garcia Longo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Thiago Horacio Messa M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 26/06 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Juan Estevez Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 09/06 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/02 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Tigre · Clay |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 23/02 | Franco Ribero Challenger Tigre · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
Bastian Malla
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Ezequiel Monferrer M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/04 | Justin Roberts M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-1 | 5-7 | L |
| 23/04 | Joao Goncalves M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/04 | Gavin Goode M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/04 | Lachlan Gaskell M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/04 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 14/04 | William Nolan M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 28/03 | Tomas Martinez M15 Punta Del Este · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 27/03 | Valentino Grippo M15 Punta Del Este · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/03 | Valentin Guadagno M15 Punta Del Este · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo vs Bastian Malla?
Our model gives 53% to Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.