Tennis · WTA Newport · 12/07, 18:30
Prediction: Katie Volynets vs Tatjana Maria
Prediction summary
Winner
Katie Volynets
Tatjana Maria
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Katie Volynets
6-4 (W-L)
Tatjana Maria
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Katie Volynets
3–1
Tatjana Maria
(4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katie Volynets 1626 · Tatjana Maria 1593
| Katie Volynets | Tatjana Maria | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Katie Volynets 3–1 Tatjana Maria (4).
Statistics
| Katie Volynets | Tatjana Maria | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 80% |
| Win % · Grass | 90% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.6-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-8.6 | 10.9-6.6 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 75.6% |
| Break % | 57.1% | 55.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Katie Volynets 3 – 1 Tatjana Maria (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Katie Volynets 3–1 Tatjana Maria
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/26 WTA Ostrava | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/07/25 Wimbledon Women | 2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/02/24 WTA Hua Hin | 2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 04/02/22 ITF W60 Rome GA | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katie Volynets
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Greet Minnen WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Elizabeth Mandlik WTA Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Kylie Collins WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Ariana Arseneault WTA Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Leolia Jeanjean Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Elizara Yaneva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Laura Samsonova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/06 | McCartney Kessler WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 13/06 | Panna Udvardy WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Tatjana Maria
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/07 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/07 | Katherine Sebov WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Olivia Lincer WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Iva Jovic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Yulia Putintseva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/06 | Madison Keys WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Tereza Valentova WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Jasmine Paolini WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katie Volynets vs Tatjana Maria?
Our model gives 50% to Katie Volynets, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.