Tennis · WTA Newport · 10/07, 17:00
Prediction: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Mary Stoiana
Prediction summary
Winner
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Mary Stoiana
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
4-6 (W-L)
Mary Stoiana
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
1–0
Mary Stoiana
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mananchaya Sawangkaew 1566 · Mary Stoiana 1564
| Mananchaya Sawangkaew | Mary Stoiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Mananchaya Sawangkaew 1–0 Mary Stoiana (1).
- Note: Mananchaya Sawangkaew makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Mananchaya Sawangkaew | Mary Stoiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.9 | 13.1-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 2 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 61.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
H2H · Mananchaya Sawangkaew 1 – 0 Mary Stoiana (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mananchaya Sawangkaew 1–0 Mary Stoiana
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/26 Wimbledon Women | 2-1 | 15-15 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Lea Ma WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Caroline Dolehide WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Karolina Muchova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Alycia Parks Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Maja Chwalinska Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Oceane Dodin Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Mary Stoiana Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 23/06 | Anouk Koevermans Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Akasha Urhobo WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Alexandra Eala WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Mary Stoiana
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Iryna Shymanovich WTA Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Katrina Scott WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/06 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Kayla Cross Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Celine Naef WTA Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Lulu Sun WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Kayla Day WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Celine Naef WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Mary Stoiana?
Our model gives 51% to Mary Stoiana, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.