Tennis · WTA Newport · 10/07, 21:30

Prediction: Greet Minnen vs Madison Brengle

Prediction summary
Winner
62% 38%
Greet Minnen Madison Brengle
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Greet Minnen 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWLWLWW
Madison Brengle 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Greet Minnen 1555 · Madison Brengle 1550
Greet MinnenMadison Brengle
Our model51%49%
Market71%29%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Greet MinnenMadison Brengle
Win %70%70%
Win % · Grass 70% (10) 100% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.81.5-0.6
Games (G-P)11.4-8.511.2-8.4
Aces2.50.1
Double faults3.32.3
1st serve %69.3%56.4%
Break %54.3%50.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Greet Minnen

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/07 Darja Vidmanova
WTA Newport · Grass
2-1 17-13 W
09/07 Mei Yamaguchi
WTA Newport · Grass
2-0 13-8 W
24/06 Iryna Shymanovich
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
23/06 Fiona Ferro
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-4 W
11/06 Robin Montgomery
WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass
0-2 10-13 L
09/06 Janice Tjen
WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass
2-0 13-7 W
07/06 Ella Seidel
WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass
2-1 14-7 W
06/06 Viktoriya Tomova
WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass
2-0 12-2 W
02/06 Alina Charaeva
WTA Birmingham · Grass
0-2 4-12 L
31/05 Viktoria Hruncakova
WTA Birmingham · Grass
2-0 13-7 W

Madison Brengle

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/07 Kayla Cross
WTA Newport · Grass
2-0 12-4 W
08/07 Ana Sofia Sanchez
WTA Newport · Grass
2-0 13-8 W
02/07 Tatum Evans
W100 Cary · ~Hard
1-2 11-18 L
01/07 Maya Iyengar
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
26/06 Amelia Honer
W35 Rome
0-1 5-6 L
25/06 Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
W35 Rome
2-1 14-13 W
24/06 Nadia Elle Valdez
W35 Rome
2-0 12-7 W
14/06 Lea Ma
W35 Decatur · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
13/06 Sahaja Yamalapalli
W35 Decatur · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
12/06 Malaika Rapolu
W35 Decatur · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Greet Minnen vs Madison Brengle?

Our model gives 62% to Greet Minnen, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.