Tennis · WTA Newport · 11/07, 17:00
Prediction: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Tatjana Maria
Prediction summary
Winner
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Tatjana Maria
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
4-6 (W-L)
Tatjana Maria
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mananchaya Sawangkaew 1585 · Tatjana Maria 1569
| Mananchaya Sawangkaew | Tatjana Maria | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mananchaya Sawangkaew makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Mananchaya Sawangkaew | Tatjana Maria | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 80% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.4-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11 | 10.2-7.6 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 4 |
| Double faults | 5 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 48.6% | 52.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Mary Stoiana WTA Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Lea Ma WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Caroline Dolehide WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Karolina Muchova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Alycia Parks Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Maja Chwalinska Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Oceane Dodin Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Mary Stoiana Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 23/06 | Anouk Koevermans Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Akasha Urhobo WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Tatjana Maria
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/07 | Katherine Sebov WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Olivia Lincer WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Iva Jovic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Yulia Putintseva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/06 | Madison Keys WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Tereza Valentova WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Jasmine Paolini WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Tatjana Maria?
Our model gives 57% to Tatjana Maria, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.