Tennis · WTA Athens · 12/07, 17:30
Prediction: Viktoria Morvayova vs Elina Nepliy
Prediction summary
Winner
Viktoria Morvayova
Elina Nepliy
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Viktoria Morvayova
5-5 (W-L)
Elina Nepliy
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Viktoria Morvayova 1523 · Elina Nepliy 1536
| Viktoria Morvayova | Elina Nepliy | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Viktoria Morvayova | Elina Nepliy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-9.1 | 12.4-10.8 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 59% |
| Break % | 33.8% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Viktoria Morvayova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Franziska Sziedat WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Carol Young Suh Lee W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Amandine Hesse W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Raquel Gonzalez Vilar W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Katarina Kuzmova WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Martyna Kubka W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 11/06 | Nada Fouad W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Francesca Gandolfi W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Matilde Jorge W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Jana Otzipka W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Elina Nepliy
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Qianhui Tang WTA Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 19/06 | Luna Vujovic W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Ksenia Krupenina W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Diae El Jardi W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 06/06 | Nina Vargova W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Sarah Iliev W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Alina Mokrynska W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 03/06 | Laetitia Sarrazin W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Viktoria Morvayova vs Elina Nepliy?
Our model gives 61% to Viktoria Morvayova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.