Tennis · WTA Athens · 12/07, 15:00

Prediction: Aoi Ito vs Yasmine Mansouri

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Aoi Ito Yasmine Mansouri
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Aoi Ito 3-7 (W-L)
WLWLWLLLLL
Yasmine Mansouri 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWWLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aoi Ito 1418 · Yasmine Mansouri 1558
Aoi ItoYasmine Mansouri
Our model31%69%
Market73%27%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yasmine Mansouri (rating 1418 vs 1558).
  • Aoi Ito dominates on serve: 8.5 aces and 43.2% break avg.
  • Yasmine Mansouri is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Aoi Ito makes many double faults (4.4/match).
  • Note: Yasmine Mansouri makes many double faults (5.1/match).

Statistics

Aoi ItoYasmine Mansouri
Win %20%70%
Win % · Hard 0% (2) 71% (7)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.61.7-0.7
Games (G-P)10.1-13.112.4-9.3
Aces8.51.7
Double faults4.45.1
1st serve %54.3%66.2%
Break %43.2%56.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aoi Ito

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/06 Dayana Yastremska
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 17-18 L
20/06 Diane Parry
WTA Bad Homburg · Grass
0-2 3-12 L
15/06 Petra Marcinko
WTA Berlin · Grass
1-2 10-16 L
07/06 Antonia Ruzic
WTA Queens · Grass
0-2 7-12 L
31/05 Mananchaya Sawangkaew
WTA Birmingham · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
30/05 Amelia Rajecki
WTA Birmingham · Grass
2-0 12-6 W
20/05 Lulu Sun
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
19/05 Jeline Vandromme
French Open Women · Clay
2-0 14-10 W
05/05 Lizette Cabrera
WTA Jiujiang · Hard
1-2 10-15 L
30/04 Polina Iatcenko
W100 Gifu · ~Hard
1-2 13-17 L

Yasmine Mansouri

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/07 Eleni Tsetsou
WTA Athens · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
08/07 Scarlet Kavanagh
W35 Don Benito
2-1 15-15 W
17/06 Ru Xi Wu
W35 Tauste · ~Clay
1-2 9-18 L
16/06 Andrea Palazon
W35 Tauste · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
10/05 Victoria Milovanova
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 12-14 L
09/05 Lya Fernandez
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
08/05 Eva Lopez
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
07/05 Elena Grekul
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
06/05 Milla Sequeira
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
01/05 Maria Oliver Sanchez
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 14-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aoi Ito vs Yasmine Mansouri?

Our model gives 54% to Aoi Ito, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.