Tennis · WTA Athens · 14/07, 15:00
Prediction: Maria Timofeeva vs Ann Li
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Timofeeva
Ann Li
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Timofeeva
8-2 (W-L)
Ann Li
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Maria Timofeeva
0–2
Ann Li
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Timofeeva 1555 · Ann Li 1484
| Maria Timofeeva | Ann Li | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maria Timofeeva (rating 1555 vs 1484).
- Maria Timofeeva is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Maria Timofeeva 0–2 Ann Li (2).
Statistics
| Maria Timofeeva | Ann Li | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (6) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.3-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-7.7 | 12.2-12.4 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.6% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 55.3% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Maria Timofeeva 0 – 2 Ann Li (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maria Timofeeva 0–2 Ann Li
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/25 WTA Rabat | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/01/25 WTA Singapore | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Timofeeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Elise Mertens Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Beatriz Haddad Maia Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Heather Watson Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Veronika Podrez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Whitney Osuigwe Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Renata Zarazua WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/06 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Yasmine Kabbaj WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Lea Boskovic WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Ann Li
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Zeynep Sonmez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 19/06 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 18/06 | Taylah Preston WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 28/05 | Diane Parry French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Shuai Zhang French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/05 | Emma Navarro WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/05 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Timofeeva vs Ann Li?
Our model gives 51% to Maria Timofeeva, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.