Tennis · WTA Athens · 14/07, 15:00
Prediction: Tereza Valentova vs Sofia Costoulas
Prediction summary
Winner
Tereza Valentova
Sofia Costoulas
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Tereza Valentova
6-4 (W-L)
Sofia Costoulas
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tereza Valentova
1–0
Sofia Costoulas
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tereza Valentova 1487 · Sofia Costoulas 1532
| Tereza Valentova | Sofia Costoulas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sofia Costoulas (rating 1487 vs 1532).
- Sofia Costoulas dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 50.1% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Tereza Valentova 1–0 Sofia Costoulas (1).
- Note: Tereza Valentova makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Sofia Costoulas makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Tereza Valentova | Sofia Costoulas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-12.5 | 11.3-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 4 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 57.3% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 57.3% | 50.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Tereza Valentova 1 – 0 Sofia Costoulas (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tereza Valentova 1–0 Sofia Costoulas
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/24 ITF W35 Annenheim | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tereza Valentova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Karolina Pliskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 22/06 | Hannah Klugman WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 15/06 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Magda Linette French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 07/05 | Coco Gauff WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/05 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 02/05 | Anna Blinkova WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Sofia Costoulas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Storm Hunter Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Sapfo Sakellaridi WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 28/05 | Nadia Podoroska W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 27/05 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 21/05 | Hanyu Guo French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Mai Hontama French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/05 | Tereza Mrdeza French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/05 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 28/04 | Ayla Aksu WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tereza Valentova vs Sofia Costoulas?
Our model gives 64% to Tereza Valentova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.