Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville Women · 15/07, 19:30
Prediction: Mary Boyce Deatherage vs Aya Manning
Prediction summary
Winner
Mary Boyce Deatherage
Aya Manning
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Mary Boyce Deatherage
4-6 (W-L)
Aya Manning
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mary Boyce Deatherage 1514 · Aya Manning 1468
| Mary Boyce Deatherage | Aya Manning | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mary Boyce Deatherage (rating 1514 vs 1468).
- Note: Aya Manning makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Mary Boyce Deatherage | Aya Manning | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11.7 | 10.9-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 59.7% |
| Break % | 39.2% | 53.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mary Boyce Deatherage
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Lillie Murphy UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 27/06 | Audrey Aulia UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Sydney Jara UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Ellie Myers UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Calla McGill UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 16/08 | Prisca Abbas UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 15/08 | Jennifer Riester UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/08 | Lan Mi UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Shona Nakano UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/08 | Olivia Carneiro UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Aya Manning
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Katie Spencer UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/07 | Andrea Chacon UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Lucia Fuduric UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Susana Souhrada UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Mary Grace Rennard UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 14/06 | Camille Kiss UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 12/06 | Alexandra Wolf UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Kohana Darroch UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/06 | Daniela Borruel UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mary Boyce Deatherage vs Aya Manning?
Our model gives 55% to Mary Boyce Deatherage, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.