Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 12/07, 10:00
Prediction: Elza Tomase vs Adithya Karunaratne
Prediction summary
Winner
Elza Tomase
Adithya Karunaratne
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Elza Tomase
8-2 (W-L)
Adithya Karunaratne
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elza Tomase 1594 · Adithya Karunaratne 1562
| Elza Tomase | Adithya Karunaratne | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Elza Tomase makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Elza Tomase | Adithya Karunaratne | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.4 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-6.7 | 12.2-8.6 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72.5% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 59.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elza Tomase
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Anja Stankovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/07 | Leticia Solakov W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Lucia Natal W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Noemi La Cagnina W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Anja Stankovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Anna Petkovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/07 | Dunja Maric W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Dana Charintceva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Aleksandra Pozarenko W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Mina Hodzic W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Adithya Karunaratne
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Kali Supova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Dora Miskovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 10/07 | Dimitra Pavlou W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Klara Vaja W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Nina Radovanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 14/05 | Amelia Paszun W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/05 | Lavinia Luciano W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/05 | Yuliya Hatouka W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Marie Villet W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 19/04 | Iva Ivanova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elza Tomase vs Adithya Karunaratne?
Our model gives 53% to Adithya Karunaratne, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.