Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 22/07, 09:00
Prediction: Elena Milutinovic vs Emma Ottavia Ghirardato
Prediction summary
Winner
Elena Milutinovic
Emma Ottavia Ghirardato
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Elena Milutinovic
3-7 (W-L)
Emma Ottavia Ghirardato
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elena Milutinovic 1442 · Emma Ottavia Ghirardato 1525
| Elena Milutinovic | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emma Ottavia Ghirardato (rating 1442 vs 1525).
- Emma Ottavia Ghirardato is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Elena Milutinovic makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Elena Milutinovic | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 30% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1.5-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.1-10.4 | 12.6-10 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 5 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 55.4% | 59.2% |
| Break % | 54.9% | 61.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elena Milutinovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Dora Miskovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Gala Ivanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Lidia Encheva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-1 | 0-6 | L |
| 03/06 | Nadja Mladenovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/05 | Stefania Bojica W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Galatea Ferro W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 19/05 | Ana Cristiana Mocanu W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 26/09 | Ela Plosnik UTR Pro Zadar Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Karolina Krajmer UTR Pro Zadar Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Mia Horvit UTR Pro Zadar Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Emma Ottavia Ghirardato
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Kiara Cvetkovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Ellie Daniels W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Amelie Van Impe W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Olga Bienzobas Fernandez W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 29/06 | Maria Trujillo Garnica W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/06 | Ksenia Zaytseva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Mariya Yemshanova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/06 | Helena Stevic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 13/06 | Marie Mettraux W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 12/06 | Mia Horvit W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elena Milutinovic vs Emma Ottavia Ghirardato?
Our model gives 77% to Emma Ottavia Ghirardato, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.