Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 22/07, 09:00
Prediction: Andrea Obradovic vs Maria Golovina
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea Obradovic
Maria Golovina
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Obradovic
8-2 (W-L)
Maria Golovina
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Andrea Obradovic
0–1
Maria Golovina
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Obradovic 1627 · Maria Golovina 1544
| Andrea Obradovic | Maria Golovina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrea Obradovic (rating 1627 vs 1544).
- Andrea Obradovic is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Andrea Obradovic 0–1 Maria Golovina (1).
- Note: Andrea Obradovic makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Maria Golovina makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Andrea Obradovic | Maria Golovina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 90% (10) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-8 | 10.1-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 4 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 56.1% |
| Break % | 60.7% | 54.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Andrea Obradovic 0 – 1 Maria Golovina (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Andrea Obradovic 0–1 Maria Golovina
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/25 UTR Pro Dubai Women | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Obradovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Mathilde Ngijol Carre W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/07 | Mia Horvit UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Andrea Nova UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Alessandra Teodosescu UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 08/07 | Ida Clement UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Mia Chudejova UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Khrystyna Vozniak UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Nina Radovanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Nina Tepic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Denise Hrdinkova UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Maria Golovina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Melisa Ercan W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Valentina Ryser W75 Vitoria Gasteiz |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Rositsa Dencheva W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Victoria Bosio W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Sara Victoria Balan W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Eszter Meri W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Yujia Huang W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Han Shi W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Obradovic vs Maria Golovina?
Our model gives 57% to Maria Golovina, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.