Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 21/07, 10:30
Prediction: Federica Sacco vs Kristina Kovgan
Prediction summary
Winner
Federica Sacco
Kristina Kovgan
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Federica Sacco
5-5 (W-L)
Kristina Kovgan
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federica Sacco 1528 · Kristina Kovgan 1488
| Federica Sacco | Kristina Kovgan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federica Sacco (rating 1528 vs 1488).
- Note: Kristina Kovgan makes many double faults (9.2/match).
Statistics
| Federica Sacco | Kristina Kovgan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-8.9 | 10.2-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 9.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 60.6% | 59.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federica Sacco
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Ekaterina Kazionova W35 Buzau |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Annemarie Lazar W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/06 | Martina Colmegna W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Maria Mikhailova W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Valentini Grammatikopoulou W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/06 | Luna Vujovic W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Oceane Babel W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/06 | Marta Lombardini W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Marie Weckerle W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Kristina Kovgan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Alessia Antici W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Mathilde Ngijol Carre W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Masa Viriant W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-8 | L |
| 03/07 | Anna Petkovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 02/07 | Krystyna Pochtovyk W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Patricia Georgiana Goina W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Helena Muzinic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | Nuria Sarganella Verdu W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Lidia Encheva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Doroteja Petrovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federica Sacco vs Kristina Kovgan?
Our model gives 74% to Federica Sacco, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.