Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 22/07, 09:00
Prediction: Aurora Corvi vs Lucie Urbanova
Prediction summary
Winner
Aurora Corvi
Lucie Urbanova
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Aurora Corvi
6-4 (W-L)
Lucie Urbanova
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aurora Corvi 1497 · Lucie Urbanova 1493
| Aurora Corvi | Lucie Urbanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Aurora Corvi | Lucie Urbanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10 | 9.8-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 55.7% | 59.9% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 41.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aurora Corvi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Josephine Kunz W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Leticia Solakov W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 11/06 | Marie Mettraux W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-1 | 5-6 | L |
| 09/06 | Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/06 | Teodora Vlajic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Daria Yesypchuk W15 Grado · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 07/05 | Klara Veldman W15 Kalmar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Anna-Lena Ebster W15 Kalmar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 05/05 | Anna Ozerova W15 Kalmar · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
Lucie Urbanova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Lucie Petruzelova W75 Olomouc |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Lia Karatancheva W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Aliaksandra Skapets W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Anastasia Safta W15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 10/09 | Sara Dols ITF W35 Punta Cana · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Jenna Dean ITF W35 Punta Cana · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/08 | Marcelina Podlinska ITF W15 Bielsko Biala · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Ania Hertel ITF W15 Bielsko Biala · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/08 | Amelia Paszun ITF W15 Bielsko Biala · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 07/08 | Stefania Rogozinska-Dzik ITF W15 Bielsko Biala · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aurora Corvi vs Lucie Urbanova?
Our model gives 57% to Lucie Urbanova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.