Tennis · WTA Athens · 12/07, 15:00
Prediction: Lilli Tagger vs Madison Sieg
Prediction summary
Winner
Lilli Tagger
Madison Sieg
Estimated games
23.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lilli Tagger
4-6 (W-L)
Madison Sieg
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lilli Tagger 1456 · Madison Sieg 1543
| Lilli Tagger | Madison Sieg | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 85% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Madison Sieg (rating 1456 vs 1543).
- Madison Sieg is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Lilli Tagger | Madison Sieg | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-12.4 | 12.4-10.8 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.2% | 58.5% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 48.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lilli Tagger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Lanlana Tararudee Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 20/06 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 24/05 | Xinyu Wang French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 13/05 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/05 | Maria Sakkari WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 05/05 | Alina Korneeva WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Suzan Lamens WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/05 | Tereza Valentova WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 29/04 | Amandine Monnot WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Madison Sieg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Artemis Aslanisvili WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Carolina Kuhl W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Nicole Gadient W35 Buzau |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 04/07 | Aurora Zantedeschi W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Lisa Zaar W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Yara Bartashevich W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/06 | Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 21/06 | Lea Nilsson W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 20/06 | Lucie Petruzelova W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 19/06 | Valentina Ivanov W35 Ystad · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lilli Tagger vs Madison Sieg?
Our model gives 64% to Lilli Tagger, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.