Tennis · WTA Athens · 14/07, 15:00
Prediction: Magda Linette vs Mai Hontama
Prediction summary
Winner
Magda Linette
Mai Hontama
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Magda Linette
3-7 (W-L)
Mai Hontama
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Magda Linette 1491 · Mai Hontama 1513
| Magda Linette | Mai Hontama | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mai Hontama makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Magda Linette | Mai Hontama | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10.8 | 10.9-10.9 |
| Aces | 4 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 60.5% |
| Break % | 42% | 51.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Magda Linette
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Mirra Andreeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Mia Pohankova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/06 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 29/05 | Iga Swiatek French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Jelena Ostapenko French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 24/05 | Tereza Valentova French Open Women · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 06/05 | Tatjana Maria WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Iva Jovic WTA Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Mai Hontama
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Ashlyn Krueger Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Akasha Urhobo Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Anastasia Kulikova WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 13/06 | Zongyu Li W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Anchisa Chanta W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Yidi Yang W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 10/06 | Xinxin Yao W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/05 | Elizabeth Mandlik W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 27/05 | Mina Hodzic W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/05 | Sofia Costoulas French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Magda Linette vs Mai Hontama?
Our model gives 66% to Magda Linette, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.