Tennis · WTA Athens · 14/07, 15:00
Prediction: Qinwen Zheng vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Prediction summary
Winner
Qinwen Zheng
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Qinwen Zheng
4-6 (W-L)
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Qinwen Zheng 1464 · Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 1495
| Qinwen Zheng | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Qinwen Zheng dominates on serve: 9.5 aces and 40.5% break avg.
- Note: Qinwen Zheng makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Qinwen Zheng | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 33% (6) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-13.5 | 8.5-10 |
| Aces | 9.5 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 74.6% | 60% |
| Break % | 40.5% | 43% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Qinwen Zheng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Katerina Siniakova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Clara Tauson WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Solana Sierra WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Talia Gibson WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Maria Sakkari WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 08/06 | Jaqueline Adina Cristian WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Maja Chwalinska French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/05 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 07/05 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/05 | Anna Bondar WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Jessica Pegula Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Dayana Yastremska Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Anastasia Potapova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Madison Keys WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/06 | Emma Navarro WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Himeno Sakatsume WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Aryna Sabalenka French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Petra Marcinko WTA Rabat · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Qinwen Zheng vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro?
Our model gives 54% to Qinwen Zheng, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.