Tennis · WTA Athens · 14/07, 15:00

Prediction: Carole Monnet vs Rebeka Masarova

Prediction summary
Winner
30% 70%
Carole Monnet Rebeka Masarova
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Carole Monnet 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWLWLWLL
Rebeka Masarova 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLLWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Carole Monnet 1467 · Rebeka Masarova 1516
Carole MonnetRebeka Masarova
Our model43%57%
Market19%81%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rebeka Masarova (rating 1467 vs 1516).
  • Carole Monnet dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 41.2% break avg.
  • Rebeka Masarova dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 40.6% break avg.
  • Note: Carole Monnet makes many double faults (6/match).
  • Note: Rebeka Masarova makes many double faults (4.6/match).

Statistics

Carole MonnetRebeka Masarova
Win %40%60%
Win % · Grass 0% (2) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.41.3-1.2
Games (G-P)8.7-11.812.6-11
Aces6.47.3
Double faults64.6
1st serve %56.1%76.1%
Break %41.2%40.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carole Monnet

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/06 Tatiana Prozorova
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
18/06 Xiyu Wang
WTA Brescia · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
16/06 Martina Trevisan
WTA Brescia · Clay
2-0 14-11 W
07/06 Donna Vekic
WTA Queens · Grass
0-2 7-12 L
05/06 Leyre Romero Gormaz
WTA Foggia · Clay
1-2 9-13 L
04/06 Tatiana Prozorova
WTA Foggia · Clay
2-1 13-13 W
02/06 Alice Tubello
WTA Foggia · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
20/05 Maja Chwalinska
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 1-12 L
18/05 Polina Iatcenko
French Open Women · Clay
2-1 17-16 W
12/05 Solana Sierra
WTA Parma · Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Rebeka Masarova

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Francesca Curmi
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
06/07 Julia Grabher
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-1 18-17 W
23/06 Jil Teichmann
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 10-13 L
16/06 Katerina Siniakova
WTA Berlin · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
15/06 Mia Pohankova
WTA Berlin · Grass
2-0 12-5 W
13/06 Noma Noha Akugue
WTA Berlin · Grass
2-1 16-9 W
06/06 Alexandra Eala
WTA Birmingham · Grass
1-2 11-16 L
05/06 Mary Stoiana
WTA Birmingham · Grass
2-1 15-10 W
04/06 Tatjana Maria
WTA Birmingham · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
02/06 Tereza Martincova
WTA Birmingham · Grass
2-1 18-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carole Monnet vs Rebeka Masarova?

Our model gives 70% to Rebeka Masarova, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.