Tennis · W15 Luan · 12/07, 04:00
Prediction: Alina Tikhonova vs Cheuk Ying Shek
Prediction summary
Winner
Alina Tikhonova
Cheuk Ying Shek
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Alina Tikhonova
7-3 (W-L)
Cheuk Ying Shek
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alina Tikhonova 1609 · Cheuk Ying Shek 1595
| Alina Tikhonova | Cheuk Ying Shek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Alina Tikhonova | Cheuk Ying Shek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.8-0.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-7.8 | 11.2-4.9 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 56.1% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 63.7% | 68.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alina Tikhonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Maria Kalyakina W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Junhan Zhang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Onyu Choi W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Yuhan Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/05 | JiaYi Wang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 16/05 | Xi Luo W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-4 | W |
| 15/05 | Sandugash Kenzhibayeva W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/05 | Su Jin Kim W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/05 | Chengyiyi Yuan W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Cheuk Ying Shek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Ikumi Yamazaki W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Xinyi Nong W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Meiling Wang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Yuhan Wang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 19/06 | Eva Marie Desvignes Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Safina Khabibrakhmanova Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Carolann Delaunay Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Alexa Joy Milliam Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 29/05 | Hiromi Abe W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Chia Yi Tsao W15 Fukui · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alina Tikhonova vs Cheuk Ying Shek?
Our model gives 55% to Alina Tikhonova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.