Tennis · M15 Rancho Santa Fe · 11/07, 20:30
Prediction: Emon Van Loben Sels vs Noah Zamora
Prediction summary
Winner
Emon Van Loben Sels
Noah Zamora
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Emon Van Loben Sels
5-5 (W-L)
Noah Zamora
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Emon Van Loben Sels
0–2
Noah Zamora
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Emon Van Loben Sels 1478 · Noah Zamora 1556
| Emon Van Loben Sels | Noah Zamora | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Noah Zamora (rating 1478 vs 1556).
- Head-to-head: Emon Van Loben Sels 0–2 Noah Zamora (2).
- Note: Emon Van Loben Sels makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Emon Van Loben Sels | Noah Zamora | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-10.6 | 12-9.2 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 55.3% | 37.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Emon Van Loben Sels 0 – 2 Noah Zamora (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Emon Van Loben Sels 0–2 Noah Zamora
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/01/26 Challenger San Diego | 1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 17/06/24 M15 Rancho Santa Fe | 1-2 | 19-21 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Emon Van Loben Sels
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Reece Falck M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Hiroki Sakagawa M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 07/07 | Jean Baptiste Badon M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Rudy Quan M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 03/06 | Iiro Vasa M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 27/05 | Will Mayew M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 26/01 | Noah Zamora Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 02/01 | David Duong UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 31/12 | Winston Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Noah Zamora
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Noah Johnston M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 09/07 | Rudy Quan M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 08/07 | Benjamin O'Connell M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 04/07 | Bryce Nakashima M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Matic Kriznik M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Benjamin O'Connell M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Noah Johnston M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Jack Satterfield M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Stian Klaassen M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Kelly Giese M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Emon Van Loben Sels vs Noah Zamora?
Our model gives 53% to Noah Zamora, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.