Tennis · M15 Rancho Santa Fe · 10/07, 20:30
Prediction: Reece Falck vs Emon Van Loben Sels
Prediction summary
Winner
Reece Falck
Emon Van Loben Sels
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Reece Falck
6-4 (W-L)
Emon Van Loben Sels
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Reece Falck
0–1
Emon Van Loben Sels
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Reece Falck 1467 · Emon Van Loben Sels 1488
| Reece Falck | Emon Van Loben Sels | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Reece Falck 0–1 Emon Van Loben Sels (1).
- Note: Emon Van Loben Sels makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Reece Falck | Emon Van Loben Sels | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.4-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-10.1 | 13.4-11.2 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 5 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 41.8% | 58.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Reece Falck 0 – 1 Emon Van Loben Sels (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Reece Falck 0–1 Emon Van Loben Sels
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/25 ITF M25 Southaven | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Reece Falck
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Alejandro Hayen M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Alexander Guajardo M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Vit Kalina M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Nathan Trouve M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Neo Niedner M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Diogo Morais M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 26/05 | Juan Carlos Fuentes Vasquez M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 23/05 | Blu Baker UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Miles Clark UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/05 | Rohan Sachdev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Emon Van Loben Sels
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Hiroki Sakagawa M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 07/07 | Jean Baptiste Badon M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Rudy Quan M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 03/06 | Iiro Vasa M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 27/05 | Will Mayew M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 26/01 | Noah Zamora Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 02/01 | David Duong UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 31/12 | Winston Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/12 | Hudson Rivera UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Reece Falck vs Emon Van Loben Sels?
Our model gives 64% to Emon Van Loben Sels, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.