Tennis · M15 Rancho Santa Fe · 10/07, 20:30
Prediction: Spencer Johnson vs Ronald Hohmann
Prediction summary
Winner
Spencer Johnson
Ronald Hohmann
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Spencer Johnson
10-0 (W-L)
Ronald Hohmann
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Spencer Johnson 1643 · Ronald Hohmann 1515
| Spencer Johnson | Ronald Hohmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spencer Johnson (rating 1643 vs 1515).
- Spencer Johnson dominates on serve: 9.8 aces and 46.1% break avg.
- Spencer Johnson is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Spencer Johnson | Ronald Hohmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (8) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.2 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-8.9 | 10.8-9.8 |
| Aces | 9.8 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 75.4% | 72.4% |
| Break % | 46.1% | 59.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spencer Johnson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Youssef Kadiri Hassani M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Nile Ung M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/06 | Jagger Leach M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/06 | Aidan Kim M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/06 | Bryce Nakashima M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Ronit Karki M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 21/06 | Bryce Nakashima M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/06 | Strong Kirchheimer M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Neo Niedner M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Ronald Hohmann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Nav Dayal M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 7-0 | W |
| 07/07 | William Kleege M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Alexander Petrov M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-8 | L |
| 02/06 | Braden Shick Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/06 | Adria Soriano Barrera Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 27/05 | Tyler Zink Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 25/05 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/05 | Dan Martin Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 21/04 | Matthew Segura M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spencer Johnson vs Ronald Hohmann?
Our model gives 74% to Spencer Johnson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.