Tennis · M15 Rancho Santa Fe · 09/07, 21:00
Prediction: Spencer Johnson vs Youssef Kadiri Hassani
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 65% to Spencer Johnson; the market gives 78% to Spencer Johnson (odds 1.20).
Over their last 10 matches, Spencer Johnson sits at 10-0 (W-L), while Youssef Kadiri Hassani arrives on a 6-4 run.
72%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Spencer Johnson 1653 · Youssef Kadiri Hassani 1549
| Spencer Johnson | Youssef Kadiri Hassani | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spencer Johnson (rating 1653 vs 1549).
- Spencer Johnson dominates on serve: 10.2 aces and 47.8% break avg.
- Spencer Johnson is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Spencer Johnson | Youssef Kadiri Hassani | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (9) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.2 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-8.4 | 12.9-11.2 |
| Aces | 10.2 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 77.1% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 51% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Spencer Johnson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Nile Ung M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/06 | Jagger Leach M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/06 | Aidan Kim M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 25/06 | Bryce Nakashima M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Ronit Karki M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 21/06 | Bryce Nakashima M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/06 | Strong Kirchheimer M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Neo Niedner M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/06 | Jack Satterfield M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Youssef Kadiri Hassani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Tyler Lee M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/07 | Rafael De Alba M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Stephen Slocombe M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/06 | Jake Delaney M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 06/06 | Hiromasa Koyama M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 05/06 | Yusuke Kusuhara M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Yuta Kawahashi M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 03/06 | Riku Takahata M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 01/06 | Luke Cripps M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/05 | Kaylan Bigun M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Spencer Johnson vs Youssef Kadiri Hassani?
Our model gives 72% to Spencer Johnson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.