Tennis · M25 Dallas · 11/07, 18:00
Prediction: Trevor Svajda vs Evan Zhu
Prediction summary
Winner
Trevor Svajda
Evan Zhu
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Trevor Svajda
4-6 (W-L)
Evan Zhu
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Trevor Svajda 1477 · Evan Zhu 1520
| Trevor Svajda | Evan Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Evan Zhu (rating 1477 vs 1520).
Statistics
| Trevor Svajda | Evan Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11.9 | 12-9.7 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 73% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 34.1% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Trevor Svajda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Matthew Forbes M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Andreja Petrovic M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Maximus Dussault M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Jie Cui Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/06 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Colton Smith Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/03 | Mackenzie McDonald ATP Indian Wells · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/03 | Luca Nardi ATP Indian Wells · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/02 | Ethan Quinn ATP Dallas · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Evan Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Landon Ardila M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Alexander Frusina M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Jack Kennedy M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Xiaoyin Yang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 04/06 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/05 | Jake Delaney M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/05 | Sora Fukuda M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Trevor Svajda vs Evan Zhu?
Our model gives 65% to Trevor Svajda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.