Tennis · M25 Dallas · 10/07, 17:00
Prediction: Landon Ardila vs Evan Zhu
Prediction summary
Winner
Landon Ardila
Evan Zhu
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Landon Ardila
8-2 (W-L)
Evan Zhu
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Landon Ardila 1567 · Evan Zhu 1518
| Landon Ardila | Evan Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Landon Ardila (rating 1567 vs 1518).
Statistics
| Landon Ardila | Evan Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-8.4 | 12-9.7 |
| Aces | 1 | 5 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 52.4% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Landon Ardila
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Georgi Georgiev M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Timo Legout Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Tyler Zink Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Santiago Giamichelle UTR Pro San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Tanapatt Nirundorn UTR Pro San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/08 | JanMagnus Johnson UTR Pro San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 29/08 | Elias Shokry UTR Pro San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/08 | Carter Pate UTR Pro San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 17/08 | Sean Hill UTR Pro San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Evan Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Alexander Frusina M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Jack Kennedy M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/06 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Xiaoyin Yang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 04/06 | Geun Jun Kim M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/05 | Jake Delaney M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/05 | Sora Fukuda M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 29/05 | Shu Matsuoka M15 Karuizawa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Landon Ardila vs Evan Zhu?
Our model gives 57% to Landon Ardila, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.