Tennis · M25 Dallas · 10/07, 17:00
Prediction: Aidan Kim vs Bruno Kuzuhara
Prediction summary
Winner
Aidan Kim
Bruno Kuzuhara
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Aidan Kim
7-3 (W-L)
Bruno Kuzuhara
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Aidan Kim
1–1
Bruno Kuzuhara
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aidan Kim 1569 · Bruno Kuzuhara 1493
| Aidan Kim | Bruno Kuzuhara | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aidan Kim (rating 1569 vs 1493).
- Aidan Kim is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Aidan Kim | Bruno Kuzuhara | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-8.2 | 10.7-10 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.5% | 67.8% |
| Break % | 54.4% | 35% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Aidan Kim 1 – 1 Bruno Kuzuhara (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aidan Kim 1–1 Bruno Kuzuhara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/24 M25 Tulsa | 1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 17/02/23 ITF M15 Weston | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aidan Kim
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Mees Rottgering M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Alejandro Hernandez Gutierrez M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Bryce Nakashima M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Liam Krall M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Theodore Dean M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Joaquim Almeida M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Alexander Chang M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 26/06 | Spencer Johnson M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Hiroki Sakagawa M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Brayden Tallakson M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Bruno Kuzuhara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Jerry Roddick M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Stiles Brockett M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Gavin Young M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Alex Rybakov M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | William Manning M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 01/06 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Daniel Masur Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/05 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/05 | Daniel Evans Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/05 | Lucca Liu M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aidan Kim vs Bruno Kuzuhara?
Our model gives 58% to Aidan Kim, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.