Tennis · M25 Dallas · 10/07, 18:30
Prediction: Matthew Forbes vs Trevor Svajda
Prediction summary
Winner
Matthew Forbes
Trevor Svajda
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Matthew Forbes
5-5 (W-L)
Trevor Svajda
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matthew Forbes 1507 · Trevor Svajda 1456
| Matthew Forbes | Trevor Svajda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matthew Forbes (rating 1507 vs 1456).
- Matthew Forbes dominates on serve: 8.4 aces and 52.9% break avg.
- Note: Matthew Forbes makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Matthew Forbes | Trevor Svajda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.4 | 11.2-12.4 |
| Aces | 8.4 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 77.7% | 69.2% |
| Break % | 52.9% | 34.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matthew Forbes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Evan Bynoe M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Jie Cui M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/02 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Baton Rouge · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/01 | William Grant M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/01 | Dhakshineswar Suresh M25 Winston-Salem · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/11 | Aidan Mchugh ITF M25 East Lansing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 06/11 | Sasha Colleu ITF M25 East Lansing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/11 | Vuk Radjenovic ITF M25 East Lansing · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 26/10 | Raphael Perot ITF M25 Norman · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 25/10 | Alex Martinez ITF M25 Norman · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Trevor Svajda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Andreja Petrovic M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Maximus Dussault M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Jie Cui Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/06 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Colton Smith Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/03 | Mackenzie McDonald ATP Indian Wells · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/03 | Luca Nardi ATP Indian Wells · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/02 | Ethan Quinn ATP Dallas · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/01 | Liam Draxl Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matthew Forbes vs Trevor Svajda?
Our model gives 56% to Trevor Svajda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.