Tennis · M25 Dallas · 11/07, 18:00

Prediction: Gavin Young vs Aidan Kim

Prediction summary
Winner
52% 48%
Gavin Young Aidan Kim
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Gavin Young 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWWLWWWL
Aidan Kim 7-3 (W-L)
WLLWWWLWWW
Head-to-head
Gavin Young 1–0 Aidan Kim (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gavin Young 1553 · Aidan Kim 1567
Gavin YoungAidan Kim
Our model48%52%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Gavin Young dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 41.9% break avg.
  • Head-to-head: Gavin Young 1–0 Aidan Kim (1).

Statistics

Gavin YoungAidan Kim
Win %70%80%
Win % · Hard 57% (7) 71% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.81.7-0.5
Games (G-P)13.7-11.812.5-8.6
Aces6.85.2
Double faults1.73.3
1st serve %68.1%71.9%
Break %41.9%51.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.6

H2H · Gavin Young 10 Aidan Kim (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gavin Young 10 Aidan Kim

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DateSetsGamesRes.
25/07/24
ITF M25 Champaign
2-014-11W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gavin Young

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/07 Mitchell Krueger
M25 Dallas
2-1 17-15 W
09/07 William Manning
M25 Dallas
2-0 13-8 W
08/07 Luca Pow
M25 Dallas
2-0 13-9 W
21/06 Jeffrey John Wolf
M25 Tulsa · ~Hard
1-2 15-18 L
20/06 Andrew Fenty
M25 Tulsa · ~Hard
2-1 16-15 W
19/06 Maximus Dussault
M25 Tulsa · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
18/06 Bruno Kuzuhara
M25 Tulsa · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
17/06 Dhakshineswar Suresh
M25 Tulsa · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
10/06 Dmitry Popko
M25 Wichita · ~Hard
1-2 18-17 L
05/05 Tiago Torres
M25 Loule · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L

Aidan Kim

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/07 Bruno Kuzuhara
M25 Dallas
2-0 13-9 W
09/07 Mees Rottgering
M25 Dallas
2-0 13-8 W
08/07 Alejandro Hernandez Gutierrez
M25 Dallas
2-0 12-4 W
05/07 Bryce Nakashima
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
04/07 Liam Krall
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
03/07 Theodore Dean
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
02/07 Joaquim Almeida
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
01/07 Alexander Chang
M15 San Diego · ~Hard
2-1 15-11 W
26/06 Spencer Johnson
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
1-2 15-16 L
25/06 Hiroki Sakagawa
M15 Claremont · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gavin Young vs Aidan Kim?

Our model gives 52% to Gavin Young, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.