Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 11/07, 10:00
Prediction: Adithya Karunaratne vs Kali Supova
Prediction summary
Winner
Adithya Karunaratne
Kali Supova
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Adithya Karunaratne
8-2 (W-L)
Kali Supova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adithya Karunaratne 1553 · Kali Supova 1559
| Adithya Karunaratne | Kali Supova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Kali Supova makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Adithya Karunaratne | Kali Supova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-8.5 | 11.4-9 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 57.9% |
| Break % | 59.8% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adithya Karunaratne
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Dora Miskovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 10/07 | Dimitra Pavlou W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Klara Vaja W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Nina Radovanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 14/05 | Amelia Paszun W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/05 | Lavinia Luciano W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/05 | Yuliya Hatouka W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Marie Villet W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 19/04 | Iva Ivanova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 18/04 | Eva Marie Voracek W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Kali Supova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Tian Jialin W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Dusica Popovski W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 08/07 | Manon Favier W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Eszter Meri W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Melissa Boyden W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Aleksandra Janiszewska W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Weronika Falkowska W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-8 | L |
| 07/06 | Kiara Zabkova W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/06 | Ziva Falkner W15 Osijek · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 05/06 | Salma Drugdova W15 Osijek · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adithya Karunaratne vs Kali Supova?
Our model gives 54% to Adithya Karunaratne, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.