Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 20/07, 10:30
Prediction: Warda Ait El Bachir vs Anastasia Mozgaleva
Prediction summary
Winner
Warda Ait El Bachir
Anastasia Mozgaleva
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Warda Ait El Bachir
6-4 (W-L)
Anastasia Mozgaleva
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Warda Ait El Bachir 1508 · Anastasia Mozgaleva 1426
| Warda Ait El Bachir | Anastasia Mozgaleva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Warda Ait El Bachir (rating 1508 vs 1426).
- Note: Warda Ait El Bachir makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Warda Ait El Bachir | Anastasia Mozgaleva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.6-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-8.8 | 7.1-10.7 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.3% | 52.3% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 48.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Warda Ait El Bachir
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Josy Daems W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Daria Egorova W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Maria Mikhailova W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Manal Ennaciri W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/06 | Allegra Fiorani W35 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 03/06 | Marta Soriano Santiago W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Sharanya Shetty W15 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/04 | Cristina Diaz Adrover W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 29/04 | Marie Mettraux W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Anastasia Mozgaleva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Zi Ying Ruan W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/06 | Yara Bartashevich W75 Blois · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Anna Snigireva W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/04 | Kudzai Erin Patience Chapepa W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/04 | Joody Elkady W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Krystyna Pochtovyk W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-7 | W |
| 07/04 | Nicole Giannini W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/02 | Ela Nala Milic W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 24/02 | Micol Salvadori W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-12 | W |
| 21/01 | Daria Lodikova W15 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Warda Ait El Bachir vs Anastasia Mozgaleva?
Our model gives 73% to Warda Ait El Bachir, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.