Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 20/07, 10:30
Prediction: Andrea Obradovic vs Mathilde Ngijol Carre
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea Obradovic
Mathilde Ngijol Carre
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Obradovic
8-2 (W-L)
Mathilde Ngijol Carre
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Obradovic 1616 · Mathilde Ngijol Carre 1472
| Andrea Obradovic | Mathilde Ngijol Carre | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrea Obradovic (rating 1616 vs 1472).
- Andrea Obradovic is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Andrea Obradovic makes many double faults (4.5/match).
- Note: Mathilde Ngijol Carre makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Andrea Obradovic | Mathilde Ngijol Carre | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 90% (10) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-7.8 | 9.3-10.5 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 54.5% | 55.6% |
| Break % | 48% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Obradovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Mia Horvit UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Andrea Nova UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Alessandra Teodosescu UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 08/07 | Ida Clement UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Mia Chudejova UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Khrystyna Vozniak UTR Pro Winston-Salem · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Nina Radovanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Nina Tepic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Denise Hrdinkova UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Laura Svatikova UTR Pro Skopje Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Mathilde Ngijol Carre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Gloria De Santis W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Kristina Kovgan W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/06 | Seda Baslilar W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 18/02 | Julieta Pareja W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Klara Kosan W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/12 | Chelsea Fontenel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/12 | Nahjime Dho W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/12 | Lan Mi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/12 | Ava Williamson W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
| 10/11 | Mia Kupres ITF W50 Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Obradovic vs Mathilde Ngijol Carre?
Our model gives 70% to Andrea Obradovic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.