Tennis · UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · 11/07, 18:00
Prediction: Andrea Chacon vs Aya Manning
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrea Chacon
Aya Manning
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Chacon
5-5 (W-L)
Aya Manning
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrea Chacon 1438 · Aya Manning 1445
| Andrea Chacon | Aya Manning | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Aya Manning makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Andrea Chacon | Aya Manning | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 13% (8) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-11 | 9.6-11 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 51.2% | 54.8% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 51.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrea Chacon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Valerie Shue UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Victoria Mann UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Lyla Byers UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Mariana Manyoma UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Sasha Dimitrov UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Lillie Murphy UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/08 | Caitlin Flower UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Jantje Tilbuerger UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Ulyana Romanova UTR Pro Blacksburg Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Tara Gorinsek UTR Pro Blacksburg Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
Aya Manning
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Lucia Fuduric UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Susana Souhrada UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Mary Grace Rennard UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 14/06 | Camille Kiss UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 12/06 | Alexandra Wolf UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Kohana Darroch UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/06 | Daniela Borruel UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Simone Kay UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Letizia Corsini UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrea Chacon vs Aya Manning?
Our model gives 62% to Aya Manning, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.