Tennis · UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · 11/07, 15:00
Prediction: Nicole Okhtenberg vs Mariana Manyoma
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicole Okhtenberg
Mariana Manyoma
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Nicole Okhtenberg
7-3 (W-L)
Mariana Manyoma
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicole Okhtenberg 1501 · Mariana Manyoma 1595
| Nicole Okhtenberg | Mariana Manyoma | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mariana Manyoma (rating 1501 vs 1595).
- Mariana Manyoma is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Mariana Manyoma makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Nicole Okhtenberg | Mariana Manyoma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.9-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10 | 13.1-8.4 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60.3% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 54.3% | 55.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicole Okhtenberg
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Aubrey Nisbet UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Oziera Ahmad UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Valerie Shue UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Kolie Allen UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Caroline Manzi UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Kaiden Greer UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Tanika Saravanan UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/06 | Alden Russell UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/02 | Briley Rhoden UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
Mariana Manyoma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Lyla Byers UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Victoria Mann UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Andrea Chacon UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/06 | Amina Salibayeva UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Anna Parkhomenko UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 11/06 | Anna Grigoreva UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Marina Fuduric UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Nikoline Gullacksen UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/05 | Shravani Chennamsetty UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicole Okhtenberg vs Mariana Manyoma?
Our model gives 64% to Mariana Manyoma, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.