Prediction: Lexie Weir vs Mariana Manyoma

Prediction summary
Winner
38% 62%
Lexie Weir Mariana Manyoma
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Lexie Weir 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWLLWWW
Mariana Manyoma 9-1 (W-L)
WWWWWLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lexie Weir 1568 · Mariana Manyoma 1623
Lexie WeirMariana Manyoma
Our model42%58%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mariana Manyoma (rating 1568 vs 1623).
  • Note: Mariana Manyoma makes many double faults (5.6/match).

Statistics

Lexie WeirMariana Manyoma
Win %80%100%
Win % · Hard 75% (8) 100% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.72-0.3
Games (G-P)12-8.913.6-8.1
Aces1.10.5
Double faults2.55.6
1st serve %60.9%65.4%
Break %59.6%53.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lexie Weir

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/07 Mary Grace Rennard
UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay
2-1 15-11 W
08/07 Aya Manning
UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
07/07 Susana Souhrada
UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
04/07 Daniela Borruel
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
03/07 Esther Vyrlan
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-1 15-11 W
02/07 Emily Deming
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
01/07 Alexandra Wolf
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
27/06 Elena Mireles
UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
26/06 Zuzanna Kubacha
UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
25/06 Lera Alexin
UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard
2-1 16-13 W

Mariana Manyoma

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/07 Lyla Byers
UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
08/07 Victoria Mann
UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
07/07 Andrea Chacon
UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
13/06 Amina Salibayeva
UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
12/06 Anna Parkhomenko
UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard
2-1 15-15 W
11/06 Anna Grigoreva
UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
10/06 Marina Fuduric
UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard
2-1 18-11 W
09/06 Nikoline Gullacksen
UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
23/05 Shravani Chennamsetty
UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
22/05 Ellison Reynoldson
UTR Pro Madison Women · Hard
2-1 16-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lexie Weir vs Mariana Manyoma?

Our model gives 62% to Mariana Manyoma, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.