Tennis · UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · 10/07, 17:20
Prediction: Valerie Shue vs Andrea Chacon
Prediction summary
Winner
Valerie Shue
Andrea Chacon
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Valerie Shue
8-2 (W-L)
Andrea Chacon
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valerie Shue 1564 · Andrea Chacon 1437
| Valerie Shue | Andrea Chacon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valerie Shue (rating 1564 vs 1437).
- Valerie Shue is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Valerie Shue | Andrea Chacon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 13% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-7.8 | 7.1-10.7 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 66.5% | 51% |
| Break % | 53.4% | 37% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valerie Shue
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Oziera Ahmad UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/07 | Aubrey Nisbet UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/07 | Nicole Okhtenberg UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 06/06 | Vivian Yang UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Victoria Mann UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/06 | Anna Grigoreva UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Linda Ziets Segura UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/06 | Heidi Bulger UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 27/02 | Carolina Bohrer Martins UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 26/02 | Nicole Okhtenberg UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Andrea Chacon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Victoria Mann UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Lyla Byers UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Mariana Manyoma UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Sasha Dimitrov UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Lillie Murphy UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/08 | Caitlin Flower UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Jantje Tilbuerger UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Ulyana Romanova UTR Pro Blacksburg Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Tara Gorinsek UTR Pro Blacksburg Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 01/08 | Shona Nakano UTR Pro Blacksburg Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valerie Shue vs Andrea Chacon?
Our model gives 75% to Valerie Shue, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.