Tennis · UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · 10/07, 15:00
Prediction: Natalie Oliver vs Mary Grace Rennard
Prediction summary
Winner
Natalie Oliver
Mary Grace Rennard
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Natalie Oliver
5-5 (W-L)
Mary Grace Rennard
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Natalie Oliver 1446 · Mary Grace Rennard 1417
| Natalie Oliver | Mary Grace Rennard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Natalie Oliver makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Natalie Oliver | Mary Grace Rennard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 13% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 0.6-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-11.2 | 7.9-11.7 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 56.3% | 50.6% |
| Break % | 23.5% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Natalie Oliver
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Lucia Fuduric UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Addison Iacono UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Jane Dunyon UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Reese Frank UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/04 | Joanna Kennedy UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/04 | Emily Golovanov UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/04 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Tanika Saravanan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/04 | Celine Simunyu UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Mary Grace Rennard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Susana Souhrada UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Aya Manning UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Kerrigan Spiers UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/05 | Georgia Kulevich UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/01 | Tzeng Mu-Jie UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/01 | Theodora Xantava UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 31/12 | Rachel Wu UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/12 | Ella Brownback UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/12 | Dalayna Hewitt UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Natalie Oliver vs Mary Grace Rennard?
Our model gives 51% to Natalie Oliver, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.