Tennis · Challenger Nottingham · 11/07, 12:00
Prediction: Henry Searle vs Max Basing
Prediction summary
Winner
Henry Searle
Max Basing
Estimated games
25.4
Recent form · 10 last
Henry Searle
8-2 (W-L)
Max Basing
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Henry Searle 1605 · Max Basing 1536
| Henry Searle | Max Basing | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Henry Searle (rating 1605 vs 1536).
- Henry Searle dominates on serve: 7.7 aces and 46.2% break avg.
- Henry Searle is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Max Basing makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Henry Searle | Max Basing | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 90% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.4-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-9.9 | 12.4-15.1 |
| Aces | 7.7 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 81.6% | 64% |
| Break % | 46.2% | 32.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Henry Searle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Johannus Monday Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Amit Vales Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Vilius Gaubas Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 22/06 | Zhizhen Zhang Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/06 | Kyrian Jacquet Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Elias Ymer Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Max Basing
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Felix Gill Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 09/07 | Luca Castelnuovo Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Filippo Romano Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 29/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 3-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Remy Bertola Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 24-23 | W |
| 24/06 | Tom Gentzsch Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Francesco Maestrelli Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 13/06 | August Holmgren Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Paul Jubb Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 31/05 | Martin Damm Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Henry Searle vs Max Basing?
Our model gives 66% to Henry Searle, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.