Prediction: Johannus Monday vs Henry Searle
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Henry Searle; the market gives 63% to Henry Searle (odds 1.50).
Recent form leaves Johannus Monday with 5 wins and 5 losses over 10 games; Henry Searle has piled up 7-3 in the same span.
| Johannus Monday | Henry Searle | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Henry Searle (rating 1513 vs 1601).
- Henry Searle dominates on serve: 7.7 aces and 47.7% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Johannus Monday 2–0 Henry Searle (2).
Statistics
| Johannus Monday | Henry Searle | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (4) | 89% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-11.4 | 14-10.6 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 7.7 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 80.4% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 47.7% |
H2H · Johannus Monday 2 – 0 Henry Searle (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Johannus Monday 2–0 Henry Searle
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/24 ITF M25 Roehampton | 2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 01/08/23 ITF M25 Roehampton | 2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Johannus Monday
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Arda Azkara Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Matthew Summers Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Tristan Schoolkate Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 29/05 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 26/05 | Braden Shick Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/05 | Christian Langmo Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 24/05 | Adhithya Ganesan Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 15/05 | Samir Hamza Reguig M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Henry Searle
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Amit Vales Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Vilius Gaubas Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 22/06 | Zhizhen Zhang Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/06 | Kyrian Jacquet Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Elias Ymer Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 05/06 | Karl Poling Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Johannus Monday vs Henry Searle?
Our model gives 62% to Henry Searle, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.