Tennis · Challenger Nottingham · 10/07, 12:00

Prediction: Clement Chidekh vs Ivan Ivanov

Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Ivan Ivanov; the market gives 65% to Clement Chidekh (odds 1.44).

On recent form, Clement Chidekh is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Ivan Ivanov 6-4 over theirs.

55%1
55% 45%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Clement Chidekh 1501 · Ivan Ivanov 1540
Clement ChidekhIvan Ivanov
Our model44%56%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Clement ChidekhIvan Ivanov
Win %40%60%
Win % · Grass 50% (8) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.3-0.9
Games (G-P)11.8-11.910.9-9.5
Aces5.25
Double faults3.71.3
1st serve %73.2%73.7%
Break %37%41%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Clement Chidekh

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Alberto Barroso Campos
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-0 12-6 W
06/07 Maxime Janvier
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-1 16-13 W
22/06 Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 8-12 L
15/06 Colton Smith
Challenger Dublin · Grass
1-2 14-15 L
09/06 Billy Harris
Challenger Ilkley · Grass
1-2 17-19 L
02/06 Filippo Romano
Challenger Birmingham · Grass
1-2 14-15 L
01/06 Charles Broom
Challenger Birmingham · Grass
2-0 13-9 W
31/05 William Jansen
Challenger Birmingham · Grass
2-0 12-5 W
19/05 Joel Schwaerzler
French Open · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
06/05 Martin Krumich
Challenger Francavilla · Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Ivan Ivanov

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Lui Maxted
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
07/07 Niels Visker
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-0 13-9 W
06/07 Dinko Dinev
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-1 16-8 W
05/07 Conor Gannon
Challenger Nottingham · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
22/06 Zsombor Piros
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 4-12 L
16/06 Stefanos Sakellaridis
Challenger Dublin · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
26/05 Mathys Erhard
Challenger Kosice · Clay
1-2 13-18 L
25/05 Alafia Ayeni
Challenger Kosice · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
24/05 Radovan Michalik
Challenger Kosice · Clay
2-0 12-1 W
19/05 Lorenzo Carboni
Challenger Cervia · Clay
0-2 6-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Clement Chidekh vs Ivan Ivanov?

Our model gives 55% to Clement Chidekh, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.