Tennis · W35 Don Benito · 11/07, 09:30
Prediction: Melisa Ercan vs Viktoria Hruncakova
Prediction summary
Winner
Melisa Ercan
Viktoria Hruncakova
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Melisa Ercan
5-5 (W-L)
Viktoria Hruncakova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Melisa Ercan 1561 · Viktoria Hruncakova 1512
| Melisa Ercan | Viktoria Hruncakova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Melisa Ercan (rating 1561 vs 1512).
- Melisa Ercan is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Melisa Ercan makes many double faults (4.5/match).
- Note: Viktoria Hruncakova makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Melisa Ercan | Viktoria Hruncakova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-9.1 | 10-9.3 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 7.4 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 77.9% |
| Break % | 46.5% | 36.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Melisa Ercan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Ela Plosnik W35 Don Benito |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 09/07 | Jodie Anna Burrage W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 8-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Duru Soke W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Irem Kurt W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/07 | Amelie Smejkalova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Nikoletta Muller W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Eva Panova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/11 | Sofia Shapatava W35 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 27/11 | Denislava Glushkova W35 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
Viktoria Hruncakova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Lucia Ros Parres W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Aliesia Reva W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/06 | Rebecca Sramkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 17/06 | Yeon Woo Ku WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Hayu Kinoshita WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Lauryn John-Baptiste W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Greet Minnen WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/05 | Heather Watson WTA Birmingham · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 22/05 | Susan Bandecchi French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Melisa Ercan vs Viktoria Hruncakova?
Our model gives 63% to Viktoria Hruncakova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.