Tennis · W35 Don Benito · 10/07, 10:00
Prediction: Valentina Ryser vs Victoria Allen
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Valentina Ryser; the market gives 69% to Valentina Ryser (odds 1.36).
Over their last 10 matches, Valentina Ryser sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Victoria Allen arrives on a 4-6 run.
64%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentina Ryser 1540 · Victoria Allen 1477
| Valentina Ryser | Victoria Allen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valentina Ryser (rating 1540 vs 1477).
- Valentina Ryser is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Valentina Ryser makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Valentina Ryser | Victoria Allen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-9.2 | 9.6-10.2 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 64.1% |
| Break % | 50.6% | 42.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentina Ryser
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Celia Cervino Ruiz W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Demi Tran W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Kristina Mladenovic WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/06 | Alana Smith WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-1 | 14-17 | W |
| 14/06 | Sana Garakani WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/06 | Gabriela Knutson W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Ayline Esina Samardzic W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Amra Hercegovac-Sadikovic W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 24/05 | Yuki Naito W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Victoria Allen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Noemi Maines W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Maria Oliver Sanchez W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Antonia Stoyanov W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Ranah Akua Stoiber WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Tereza Martincova WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Indianna Spink W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Valentina Losciale W35 Estepona · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 05/05 | Jana Otzipka W35 Nottingham |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/05 | Yuriko Lily Miyazaki W35 Nottingham |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 30/04 | Esther Adeshina W35 Nottingham |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentina Ryser vs Victoria Allen?
Our model gives 64% to Valentina Ryser, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.